Ans. PAYBACK PERIOD
The
Payback- period is the time duration required to recover the initial cash
outflows. This method is based on cash flows and not on accounting data like
the ARR. Ordinary people not well versed in appraisal techniques, often use
very simple technique to judge the profitability of any investment proposal.
They think in terms of initial expenditure (outflow) and the time duration in
which this amount can be recovered. Suppose somebody spent Rs.50,000 on any
project and expects that within 3 year he can get back this amount, then the
payback period is 3 years. Payback period of any proposal can be calculated as
follows;
If the cash inflows are uniform then
Payback
period = Initial cash outflow / Annual cash inflows
If
the cash inflows are not uniform then
Payback
period = time period in which the cumulative cash flows are equal to initial
inflows.
Acceptance
Rule and Ranking Rule : - If the calculated payback is less than
any predicted value then an investment proposal is acceptable, otherwise it
will be rejected. So far as ranking is concerned, the lower the value of the
payback the higher will be the ranking of any investment proposal.
Evaluation
of payback method :- It is a simple method in concept and understanding.
That is why even lay men can understand and use it with ease. Moreover, since
its emphasis is on early recovery of investment, it automatically takes care of
risk. Projects with smaller payback are considered safer and secure as compared
to the projects with longer payback.
The
payback method, however, suffers from serious drawbacks. Firstly it takes into
account only early cash flows which determine the payback and ignores those
which come later. This may be often leading to wrong conclusions.
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