Ans. BALANCE OF PAYMENT DISEQUILIBRIUM
A nation's balance of payment is said to be in
equilibrium when it is neither drawing upon its international reserves to make
excess payments nor accumulating such reserves as a result of its receipts. In
other words, when a country is not able to pay for its imports of goods and
services from its export earnings, on accumulating reserves year after year, a
disequilibrium in balance of payments sets in. Policy initiatives are needed to
restore equilibrium. A disequilibrium in balance of payment may be short term
or long term in nature. Short term disequilibrium, arises largely on account of
cyclical factors. A crop failure leading to a sudden fall in export earnings
may create a shortfall and consequently a disequilibrium. Long term or
structural disequilibrium arises on account of long term strdctural changes in
the economy. Fall in demand of export products due to technological changes may
bring about a decline in export proceeds. Decline in demand and prices for
natural rubbcr on account of development of synthetics may be cited as an
example. Such a situation call be remedied only by diversification of economy.
METHODS
OF CORRECTING DISEQUILIBRIUM
When such a situation of disequilibrium arises, the
following measures are usually adopted.
i) Use of past reserves
ii) Borrowings from IMF
iii) Monetary and fiscal policy measures
iv) Exchange rate adjustments.
Let us learn
them in detail.
Use
of Past reserves : A country may make use of past
reserves ca finance the BOP deficit provided such reserves are available. Such
reserves consist of gold, foreign currencies and fund related assets is reserve
position with the IMF and holdings of special drawing rights. In recent years,
increase in quotas and additional allocations of SDRs and expanded private
capital flows have contributed to an overall increase in national reserves of
several countries.
Borrowing
from IMF : Countries with disequilibrium in R.O.P.
can make use of IMF facilities. These are:
1. Stand by loans
2. Extended Fund Facilities (EFF)
3. Structure Adjustment Facilities (SAF)
4. Enlarged
Structural Adjustment Facilities (ESAF)
5. Compensatory and Contingency Financing Facilities
(CCFF)
6. Systematic transformation Facilities (STF).
Monetary
and fiscal policy measures :
Monetary
and fiscal policies are also important tools for influencing B.0.P. conditions.
A change in money supply brought about either through fiscal or monetary
policies can bring about the required change in the level of total demand,
which includes demand for imported goods and services.
Exchange
rate adjustments : Adjustments in exchange rate is an
effective tool. A downward adjustment in exchange rate will make exports
cheaper and imports dearer. In other words, as a result of such a policy,
exports will be encouraged and imports will be discouraged and equilibrium will
be restored.
All these
methods, however, suffer from certain limitations. Hence, managing a state of
disequilibrium in B.O.P. continues to be a major problem which every country
faces. The major problem is that a policy initiative taken for the sake of
achieving equilibrium in B.O.P. comes into conflict with other, rather more
endearing objectives, such as, economic growth, employment and price stability.
Reconciling such conflicts continues to worry policy makers.
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